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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
20.37% ( -0.23) | 25% ( 0.05) | 54.63% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.89% ( -0.46) | 55.1% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.64% ( -0.38) | 76.35% ( 0.38) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.09% ( -0.52) | 41.9% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.65% ( -0.45) | 78.35% ( 0.45) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( -0.11) | 20.15% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( -0.18) | 52.42% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.37% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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