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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Burnley logo

Hull City
1 - 3
Burnley

Tufan (90+3')
Pelkas (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (43', 59', 73')
Ekdal (57'), Maatsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Wigan
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-2 Burnley

Hull are looking to achieve a top-half finish in the Championship for the first time since the 2015-16 campaign, but face a Burnley side who are on a relentless unbeaten run. The Clarets were able to cruise to victory against 10-man Wigan on Saturday, so Kompany's team should have plenty of energy to put in another commanding display at the MKM Stadium in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBurnley
20.37% (-0.232 -0.23) 25% (0.055 0.05) 54.63% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.459 -0.46)55.1% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.38 -0.38)76.35% (0.377 0.38)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09% (-0.515 -0.52)41.9% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.452 -0.45)78.35% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.113 -0.11)20.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.178 -0.18)52.42% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 20.37%
    Burnley 54.62%
    Draw 24.99%
Hull CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 13.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.62%

How you voted: Hull City vs Burnley

Hull City
23.6%
Draw
9.0%
Burnley
67.4%
89
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
1-1
Hull City
Rodriguez (34')
Brownhill (89')
Tufan (25')
Tetteh (11'), Jones (68'), Elder (90+6')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Hull City
1-1
Burnley
Huddlestone (72' pen.)
Huddlestone (53')
Keane (76')
Westwood (40'), Barnes (71')
Barnes (92')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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