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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Burnley logo

Hull City
1 - 3
Burnley

Tufan (90+3')
Pelkas (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (43', 59', 73')
Ekdal (57'), Maatsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Wigan
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-2 Burnley

Hull are looking to achieve a top-half finish in the Championship for the first time since the 2015-16 campaign, but face a Burnley side who are on a relentless unbeaten run. The Clarets were able to cruise to victory against 10-man Wigan on Saturday, so Kompany's team should have plenty of energy to put in another commanding display at the MKM Stadium in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBurnley
20.37% (-0.232 -0.23) 25% (0.055 0.05) 54.63% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.459 -0.46)55.1% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.38 -0.38)76.35% (0.377 0.38)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09% (-0.515 -0.52)41.9% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.452 -0.45)78.35% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.113 -0.11)20.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.178 -0.18)52.42% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 20.37%
    Burnley 54.62%
    Draw 24.99%
Hull CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 13.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.62%

How you voted: Hull City vs Burnley

Hull City
23.6%
Draw
9.0%
Burnley
67.4%
89
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
1-1
Hull City
Rodriguez (34')
Brownhill (89')
Tufan (25')
Tetteh (11'), Jones (68'), Elder (90+6')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Hull City
1-1
Burnley
Huddlestone (72' pen.)
Huddlestone (53')
Keane (76')
Westwood (40'), Barnes (71')
Barnes (92')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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