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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Burnley logo

Hull City
1 - 3
Burnley

Tufan (90+3')
Pelkas (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (43', 59', 73')
Ekdal (57'), Maatsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Wigan
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-2 Burnley

Hull are looking to achieve a top-half finish in the Championship for the first time since the 2015-16 campaign, but face a Burnley side who are on a relentless unbeaten run. The Clarets were able to cruise to victory against 10-man Wigan on Saturday, so Kompany's team should have plenty of energy to put in another commanding display at the MKM Stadium in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBurnley
20.37% (-0.232 -0.23) 25% (0.055 0.05) 54.63% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.459 -0.46)55.1% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.38 -0.38)76.35% (0.377 0.38)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09% (-0.515 -0.52)41.9% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.452 -0.45)78.35% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.113 -0.11)20.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.178 -0.18)52.42% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 20.37%
    Burnley 54.62%
    Draw 24.99%
Hull CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 13.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.62%

How you voted: Hull City vs Burnley

Hull City
23.6%
Draw
9.0%
Burnley
67.4%
89
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
1-1
Hull City
Rodriguez (34')
Brownhill (89')
Tufan (25')
Tetteh (11'), Jones (68'), Elder (90+6')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Hull City
1-1
Burnley
Huddlestone (72' pen.)
Huddlestone (53')
Keane (76')
Westwood (40'), Barnes (71')
Barnes (92')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bills
10-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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