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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
64.32% ( -0.02) | 20.07% ( 0.01) | 15.61% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.92% ( -0.02) | 42.08% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.51% ( -0.02) | 64.48% ( 0.02) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.63% ( -0.01) | 12.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.78% ( -0.03) | 38.22% ( 0.03) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.18% ( 0) | 39.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.51% ( 0) | 76.48% |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
2-0 @ 10.75% 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 64.31% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.07% | 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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