Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Mar 31, 2023 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 0
Sunderland

Cullen (53'), Maatsen (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Man City 6-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 18 at 5.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burnley 2-1 Sunderland

On the back of an international break, there is every chance that this fixture could be more competitive than many anticipate. However, while we feel that the Black Cats have the quality to score at Turf Moor, we expect the Clarets to battle their way to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Sunderland
64.32% ( -0.02)	20.07% ( 0.01)	15.61% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92% (

-0.02)

42.08% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51% (

-0.02)

64.48% (

0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63% (

-0.01)

12.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.78% (

-0.03)

38.22% (

0.03)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18% (

39.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.51% (

76.48%

Score Analysis

Burnley 64.31%

Sunderland 15.61%

Draw 20.07%

Burnley	Draw	Sunderland
2-0 @ 10.75% 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 64.31%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.07%	0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.61%