Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium

QPR
0 - 1
Birmingham

Field (22'), Amos (56'), Armstrong (90+6'), Johansen (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chong (3')
Ruddy (78'), Trusty (81'), Long (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 6-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Birmingham City

QPR fans will be demanding a massive response following Tuesday's disastrous showing against Blackpool, knowing that one more win will probably be enough to secure their Championship safety. Birmingham come into this game knowing a victory for them will likely do the same, and we expect a hard-fought contest at Loftus Road on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Birmingham City
41.29% ( -0.65)	27.23% ( -0.18)	31.48% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03% (

0.94)

55.97% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.93% (

0.76)

77.07% (

-0.76)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.32% (

0.09)

26.68% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

0.11)

61.94% (

-0.11)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28% (

1.09)

32.72% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73% (

1.2)

69.28% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 41.29%

Birmingham City 31.48%

Draw 27.22%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.29%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.48%