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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo

QPR
0 - 1
Birmingham


Field (22'), Amos (56'), Armstrong (90+6'), Johansen (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chong (3')
Ruddy (78'), Trusty (81'), Long (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 6-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Birmingham City

QPR fans will be demanding a massive response following Tuesday's disastrous showing against Blackpool, knowing that one more win will probably be enough to secure their Championship safety. Birmingham come into this game knowing a victory for them will likely do the same, and we expect a hard-fought contest at Loftus Road on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
41.29% (-0.648 -0.65) 27.23% (-0.184 -0.18) 31.48% (0.832 0.83)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.855 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (0.937 0.94)55.97% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93% (0.757 0.76)77.07% (-0.756 -0.76)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.085999999999999 0.09)26.68% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.114 0.11)61.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (1.089 1.09)32.72% (-1.088 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (1.198 1.2)69.28% (-1.197 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.29%
    Birmingham City 31.48%
    Draw 27.22%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.184 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.48%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
59.5%
Draw
27.0%
Birmingham City
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
QPR
Pedersen (82'), Halilovic (85')
Pedersen (52'), Halilovic (86'), Roberts (90+6')
Austin (44')
Willock (13'), Bonne (73')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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