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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sheffield United logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Sheff Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)

Egan (28'), Bogle (59'), Ndiaye (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 1-1 Sheffield United

A repeat of the 5-2 humiliation would not go amiss for those in red and white, who may arguably be taking on Burnley at the perfect time as the Lancashire celebrations remain in full swing. Kompany will not allow a shred of complacency to creep in from his players, though, and we have ultimately had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this headline matchup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
51.09% (0.458 0.46) 25.49% (0.11 0.11) 23.42% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.899 -0.9)53.93% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.759 -0.76)75.38% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.17 -0.17)21.13% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.268 -0.27)53.98% (0.272 0.27)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-1.021 -1.02)38.17% (1.027 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.996 -1)74.93% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 51.08%
    Sheffield United 23.42%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.08%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.42%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sheff Utd

Burnley
60.3%
Draw
16.4%
Sheffield United
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 12.30pm
Sheff Utd
5-2
Burnley
Ndiaye (30'), McBurnie (48', 74'), Robinson (64'), Ahmedhodzic (69')
Stevens (26')
Benson (17', 45')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Burnley
1-0
Sheff Utd
Mee (32')
Lowton (45+2')

Stevens (72'), Burke (90+1')
Sep 17, 2020 5.30pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-1
Sheff Utd
Burnley win 5-4 on penalties
Vydra (67')
McGoldrick (4')
Jagielka (68'), Ampadu (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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