Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 0
Sheff Utd

Berg Gudmundsson (60', 70')
Harwood-Bellis (10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Egan (28'), Bogle (59'), Ndiaye (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Wigan
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burnley 1-1 Sheffield United

A repeat of the 5-2 humiliation would not go amiss for those in red and white, who may arguably be taking on Burnley at the perfect time as the Lancashire celebrations remain in full swing. Kompany will not allow a shred of complacency to creep in from his players, though, and we have ultimately had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this headline matchup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Sheffield United
51.09% ( 0.46)	25.49% ( 0.11)	23.42% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.07% (

-0.9)

53.93% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.62% (

-0.76)

75.38% (

0.76)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

-0.17)

21.13% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

-0.27)

53.98% (

0.27)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83% (

-1.02)

38.17% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07% (

-1)

74.93% (

Score Analysis

Burnley 51.08%

Sheffield United 23.42%

Draw 25.48%

Burnley	Draw	Sheffield United
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.08%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.42%