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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
71.38% ( 0.03) | 17.71% ( -0) | 10.91% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.5% ( -0.02) | 42.5% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.1% ( -0.02) | 64.9% ( 0.02) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.4% ( 0.01) | 10.6% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.61% ( 0) | 34.39% ( 0) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.65% ( -0.04) | 47.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.25% ( -0.03) | 82.75% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 71.38% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.71% | 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 10.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 31 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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