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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
QPR logo

Leeds
2 - 0
QPR

Bogle (19'), Piroe (90+5')
Byram (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Varane (47'), Morgan (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

Leeds United have excelled on home turf this season and should have more than enough quality to record another comfortable victory against a Queens Park Rangers side lacking any momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
71.38% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 10.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)42.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)64.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)47.35% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (-0.029 -0.03)82.75% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.38%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.91%
    Draw 17.71%
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 12.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 71.38%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 17.71%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 10.91%

How you voted: Leeds vs QPR

Leeds United
76.8%
Draw
17.4%
Queens Park Rangers
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 45
QPR
4-0
Leeds
Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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