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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
34.62% | 28.24% | 37.14% |
Both teams to score 47.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.82% | 59.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.39% | 79.61% |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.77% | 32.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.28% | 68.72% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% | 30.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.14% | 66.86% |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |