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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
23.13% | 27.46% | 49.41% |
Both teams to score 43.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.94% | 61.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.96% | 81.04% |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.51% | 42.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.14% | 78.86% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% | 24.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% | 59.55% |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 5.39% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 1.11% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.09% Total : 23.13% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 14.71% 0-2 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.15% Total : 49.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |