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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
43.04% | 28.14% | 28.82% |
Both teams to score 45.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.85% | 60.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.65% | 80.35% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% | 27.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% | 63.26% |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.06% | 36.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.27% | 73.73% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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