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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Plymouth Argyle

Coventry
4 - 0
Plymouth

Sakamoto (5'), Eccles (20', 45'), Mason-Clark (39')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Szucs (85')
Wright (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Although their Portsmouth performance highlighted major areas of weakness, Coventry will seriously fancy their chances of beating a Plymouth side who are terrible on their Championship travels. The Green Army will be hoping for a Christmas miracle in the form of an away victory on Boxing Day, although we do not believe that their prayers will be answered. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 10.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
73.13% (0.26700000000001 0.27) 16.48% (-0.31 -0.31) 10.38% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.54% (1.305 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (1.609 1.61)38.25% (-1.615 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (1.689 1.69)60.52% (-1.694 -1.69)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (0.468 0.47)9.06% (-0.4739 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.17% (1.117 1.12)30.83% (-1.123 -1.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (1.157 1.16)45.52% (-1.163 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (0.894 0.89)81.34% (-0.899 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 73.13%
    Plymouth Argyle 10.38%
    Draw 16.48%
Coventry CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.89% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.554 -0.55)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.153 0.15)
4-0 @ 5.71% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.152 0.15)
5-0 @ 2.74% (0.083 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.127 0.13)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 73.13%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 16.48%
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.07% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.38%

How you voted: Coventry vs Plymouth

Coventry City
71.1%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Plymouth
2-2
Coventry
Whittaker (54'), Miller (68')
Randell (18')
Simms (65'), Kitching (90+6')
Simms (63'), Latibeaudiere (75'), Thomas (84')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Coventry
1-0
Plymouth
Wright (75')
Bidwell (90+3')

Cooper (76'), Houghton (76'), Gibson (83')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Coventry
Lameiras (63', 70')
Sarcevic (35'), Songo'o (47'), Smith-Brown (54')
Chaplin (55')
Mason (43')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Coventry
1-0
Plymouth
Bakayoko (43' pen.)

Ness (44'), Carey (44'), Taylor (84')
Ness (58')
Nov 12, 2014 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Coventry
2-0
Plymouth
Madine (61'), Nouble (85')
Maddison (26'), Barton (84'), Webster (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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