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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
0 - 1
Coventry


Leonard (51'), McNamara (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mason-Clark (63')
Bidwell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-0 Coventry City

Despite a number of suspension issues impacting their backline, Millwall should be confident of recording another solid success at The Den this weekend. Coventry will have benefitted massively from a clear week on the training ground with new boss Lampard, but we still believe that the Sky Blues will suffer a narrow defeat in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
36.66% (0.529 0.53) 28.5% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 34.83% (-0.45 -0.45)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.9% (0.252 0.25)60.1% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.69% (0.193 0.19)80.31% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (0.46299999999999 0.46)31.37% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (0.531 0.53)67.74% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.164 -0.16)32.55% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (-0.185 -0.19)69.09% (0.19 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.66%
    Coventry City 34.83%
    Draw 28.49%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.66%
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.21% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.83%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
46.8%
Draw
27.7%
Coventry City
25.5%
47
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 31
Coventry
2-1
Millwall
Wright (67' pen., 70')
Esse (12')
Esse (23')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
0-3
Coventry

Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
3-2
Coventry
Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-1
Millwall

Kane (71')
Bradshaw (79')
Bradshaw (56')
rhs 2.0
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