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Championship | Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Derby logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Derby

Ikpeazu (85')
Davies (26'), Doughty (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (52'), Davies (62'), Bird (80'), Ebosele (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Derby County

A closely-fought contest between two sides struggling at the wrong end of the table is set to be played out this weekend, though both Cardiff and Derby will view this fixture as a winnable game. Nevertheless, there is little to separate these two teams and so a score draw could be on the cards in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawDerby County
47.92%26.44%25.64%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22%55.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09%76.9%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03%73.97%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 47.92%
    Derby County 25.64%
    Draw 26.43%
Cardiff CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.92%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.64%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Derby

Cardiff City
46.7%
Draw
27.6%
Derby County
25.7%
105
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 34
Cardiff
4-0
Derby
Bacuna (22', 56'), Moore (48'), Vaulks (90+3')
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
1-1
Cardiff
Waghorn (24')
Jozwiak (82'), Shinnie (86'), te Wierik (90')
Moore (77')
Morrison (82'), Ojo (90+1'), Bacuna (90+3')
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
3-1
Cardiff
Jerome (69', 90'), Vydra (82')
Jerome (90')
Paterson (28')
Paterson (11'), Ecuele Manga (54'), Bennett (66'), Ralls (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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