Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.