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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Norwich City |
20.83% | 26.92% | 52.24% |
Both teams to score 42.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.8% | 61.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.86% | 81.14% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.05% | 44.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.11% | 80.89% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% | 23.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% | 57.8% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 4.9% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 0.94% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 15.33% 0-2 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-3 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.36% Total : 52.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |