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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
44.72% | 27.49% | 27.78% |
Both teams to score 46.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.64% | 58.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.02% | 78.97% |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% | 25.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% | 61.01% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% | 36.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.41% | 73.58% |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 12.88% 2-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
> Championship Full Table |