Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 26, 2020 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 1
Preston

Waghorn (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Browne (90+5')
Fisher (43')

Wayne Rooney says Preston loss was Derby's best performance of the season

Alan Browne scored in stoppage time to snatch the points for North End.

Dec 26, 19:10

The Match

Match Report

A draw would have lifted Derby out of the Championship relegation zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
36.65%	28.11%	35.24%

Both teams to score 47.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.32%

58.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78%

79.22%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33%

30.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08%

66.92%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43%

31.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04%

67.96%

Score Analysis

Derby County 36.64%

Preston North End 35.24%

Draw 28.11%

Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.64%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.24%