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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Bristol City

Hull City
1 - 1
Bristol City

Tufan (17')
Greaves (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wells (62')
Wells (65'), Gardner-Hickman (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Hull City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City

This should be a competitive encounter with both teams recognising that these are the kind of games that they need to be winning if they want to challenge for promotion. Nevertheless, we are backing a low-scoring draw, one which the visitors would be more accepting of after defeat last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBristol City
39.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 28.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 31.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.105 -0.1)59.44% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)79.81% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)29.07% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)64.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.28% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.1 -0.1)70.98% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 39.96%
    Bristol City 31.83%
    Draw 28.2%
Hull CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.83%

How you voted: Hull City vs Bristol City

Hull City
53.3%
Draw
28.3%
Bristol City
18.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol City
1-0
Hull City
Wells (70' pen.)
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hull City
2-1
Bristol City
Tufan (72' pen.), Michael Seri (90+3')
Weimann (30')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
5-0
Hull City
Weimann (5', 82'), Semenyo (33'), Martin (35', 54')
Scott (23')

Smallwood (88'), Jones (90')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Hull City
2-2
Bristol City
Longman (3'), Honeyman (79')
Smallwood (84')
Semenyo (54'), James (90+2')
Kalas (59'), Massengo (65')
Jul 8, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
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8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
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Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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