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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Bristol City

Hull City
1 - 1
Bristol City

Tufan (17')
Greaves (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wells (62')
Wells (65'), Gardner-Hickman (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Hull City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City

This should be a competitive encounter with both teams recognising that these are the kind of games that they need to be winning if they want to challenge for promotion. Nevertheless, we are backing a low-scoring draw, one which the visitors would be more accepting of after defeat last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBristol City
39.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 28.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 31.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.105 -0.1)59.44% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)79.81% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)29.07% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)64.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.28% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.1 -0.1)70.98% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 39.96%
    Bristol City 31.83%
    Draw 28.2%
Hull CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.83%

How you voted: Hull City vs Bristol City

Hull City
53.3%
Draw
28.3%
Bristol City
18.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol City
1-0
Hull City
Wells (70' pen.)
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hull City
2-1
Bristol City
Tufan (72' pen.), Michael Seri (90+3')
Weimann (30')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
5-0
Hull City
Weimann (5', 82'), Semenyo (33'), Martin (35', 54')
Scott (23')

Smallwood (88'), Jones (90')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Hull City
2-2
Bristol City
Longman (3'), Honeyman (79')
Smallwood (84')
Semenyo (54'), James (90+2')
Kalas (59'), Massengo (65')
Jul 8, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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