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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
66.4% ( -0.04) | 18.05% ( 0.01) | 15.54% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.47% ( 0.03) | 32.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.82% ( 0.04) | 54.18% ( -0.04) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.87% | 9.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.03% | 30.96% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% ( 0.06) | 33.9% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% ( 0.07) | 70.57% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 4.97% Total : 66.4% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.05% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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