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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Norwich City |
25.33% ( -0.31) | 22.36% ( -0.39) | 52.31% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 60.99% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.24% ( 1.53) | 38.75% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.93% ( 1.6) | 61.06% ( -1.6) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( 0.58) | 28.28% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.99% ( 0.73) | 64.01% ( -0.73) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.05% ( 0.78) | 14.95% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.65% ( 1.47) | 43.35% ( -1.47) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.05% Total : 52.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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