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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Millwall logo

Plymouth
0 - 2
Millwall


Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Millwall

With very little separating the sides in the table, home form could be a decisive factor in determining the outcome here. Plymouth have shown fine form at home with three big wins so far this season and are slight favourites to make that four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
30.99% (-0.373 -0.37) 24.63% (-0.142 -0.14) 44.38% (0.51 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.479 0.48)45.37% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.456 0.46)67.71% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.425 0.42)20.54% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.669 0.67)53.05% (-0.675 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 30.99%
    Millwall 44.38%
    Draw 24.63%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.99%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Millwall

Plymouth Argyle
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Millwall
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
Mar 20, 2005 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Plymouth
Sweeney (15'), Hayles (56'), Dichio (63')

Gudjonsson (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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