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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
30.99% ( -0.37) | 24.63% ( -0.14) | 44.38% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.62% ( 0.48) | 45.37% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( 0.46) | 67.71% ( -0.46) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( -0.01) | 27.7% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( -0) | 63.26% ( -0) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 0.42) | 20.54% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( 0.67) | 53.05% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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