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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Millwall logo

Plymouth
0 - 2
Millwall


Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Millwall

With very little separating the sides in the table, home form could be a decisive factor in determining the outcome here. Plymouth have shown fine form at home with three big wins so far this season and are slight favourites to make that four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
30.99% (-0.373 -0.37) 24.63% (-0.142 -0.14) 44.38% (0.51 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.479 0.48)45.37% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.456 0.46)67.71% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.425 0.42)20.54% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.669 0.67)53.05% (-0.675 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 30.99%
    Millwall 44.38%
    Draw 24.63%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.99%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Millwall

Plymouth Argyle
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Millwall
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
Mar 20, 2005 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Plymouth
Sweeney (15'), Hayles (56'), Dichio (63')

Gudjonsson (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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