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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Swansea City |
44.28% (![]() | 23.12% (![]() | 32.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.42% (![]() | 37.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.19% (![]() | 59.81% (![]() |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% (![]() | 17.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.13% (![]() | 47.87% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% (![]() | 22.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.29% (![]() | 56.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 8.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 4.05% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 10.28% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.57% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 66 | 19 | 47 | 69 |
3 | Burnley | 33 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 65 |
4 | Sunderland | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 62 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 51 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Coventry CityCoventry | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Bristol City | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 46 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Watford | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 44 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 44 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
14 | Millwall | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 41 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 38 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
18 | Portsmouth | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 35 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
21 | Hull City | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 30 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 29 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
24 | Luton TownLuton | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
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