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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Swansea

Taylor (17'), Chaplin (22'), Hirst (53' pen.)
Chaplin (26'), Scarlett (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fulton (7'), Lowe (90+5')
Cullen (26'), Duff (27'), Walsh (86')
Cullen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Swansea City

With Ipswich enduring their first major blip of the campaign, Swansea will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Portman Road. However, Ipswich will be motivated to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a maximum haul for McKenna's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
44.28% (0.277 0.28) 23.12% (0.153 0.15) 32.6% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 63.64% (-0.76500000000001 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.927 -0.93)37.58% (0.927 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-1.002 -1)59.81% (1.001 1)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.261 -0.26)17.42% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-0.457 -0.46)47.87% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.68199999999999 -0.68)22.94% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (-1.014 -1.01)56.71% (1.012 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.28%
    Swansea City 32.6%
    Draw 23.12%
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Swansea

Ipswich Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Swansea City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Ipswich
0-1
Swansea

Nsiala (29'), Bree (61')
Routledge (57')
Byers (16'), Fulton (20'), Dyer (90')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
2-3
Ipswich
Donacien (9' og.), Celina (79')
Rodon (88')
Edwards (27'), Van der Hoorn (31' og.), Chalobah (84')
Dozzell (68'), Chalobah (81')
Apr 25, 2011 3pm
Swansea
4-1
Ipswich
Moore (14'), Borini (9', 30'), Sinclair (71' pen.)
Dyer (45')
Healy (20')
Delaney (39'), Norris (84')
Dec 4, 2010 3pm
Ipswich
1-3
Swansea
Townsend (50')
O'Dea (41')
Allen (70'), Beattie (64', 86')
Rangel (60')
Mar 27, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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