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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Leicester City |
39.53% ( 0.04) | 23.98% ( -0) | 36.49% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.47% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.16% ( 0.01) | 40.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.77% ( 0.01) | 63.22% ( -0.01) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( 0.02) | 20.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( 0.03) | 53.52% ( -0.03) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% ( -0.02) | 22.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.17% ( -0.03) | 55.83% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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