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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Leicester City |
39.53% ( 0.04) | 23.98% ( -0) | 36.49% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.47% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.16% ( 0.01) | 40.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.77% ( 0.01) | 63.22% ( -0.01) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( 0.02) | 20.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( 0.03) | 53.52% ( -0.03) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% ( -0.02) | 22.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.17% ( -0.03) | 55.83% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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