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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Norwich City |
41.46% ( -0.22) | 24.11% ( -0.14) | 34.43% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 60.61% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( 0.77) | 41.8% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( 0.77) | 64.2% ( -0.77) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( 0.23) | 20.35% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.24% ( 0.36) | 52.76% ( -0.36) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( 0.57) | 23.9% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.9% ( 0.81) | 58.1% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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