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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Norwich

Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-2 Norwich City

None of the last nine league encounters between Swansea and Norwich have ended as a draw, but a closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both teams have regularly shown their threat in the final third so far this term, but they have also looked vulnerable at times defensively, so we can see an entertaining score draw being played out in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
41.46% (-0.215 -0.22) 24.11% (-0.142 -0.14) 34.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.61% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.773 0.77)41.8% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.775 0.77)64.2% (-0.771 -0.77)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.232 0.23)20.35% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.363 0.36)52.76% (-0.359 -0.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.568 0.57)23.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.807 0.81)58.1% (-0.802 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.46%
    Norwich City 34.43%
    Draw 24.11%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
32.4%
Draw
24.3%
Norwich City
43.2%
37
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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