Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea0 - 1Watford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 1-1 Watford
The two sides were certainly in different veins of form prior to the international break, but both fortunes swung at the weekend making Tuesday's tie an intriguing one. Watford have more quality than their league position suggests, and we fancy them to avoid defeat in South Wales and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
46.33% ( 0.1) | 25.68% ( -0.27) | 27.99% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( 1.2) | 51.41% ( -1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( 1.03) | 73.23% ( -1.03) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( 0.55) | 22.18% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.43% ( 0.82) | 55.58% ( -0.82) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.77) | 32.92% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.5% ( 0.85) | 69.5% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
Swansea City 46.32%
Watford 27.99%
Draw 25.68%
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.99% |
How you voted: Swansea vs Watford
Swansea City
66.7%Draw
25.0%Watford
8.3%48
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
