Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
0 - 1
Watford

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Watford

The two sides were certainly in different veins of form prior to the international break, but both fortunes swung at the weekend making Tuesday's tie an intriguing one. Watford have more quality than their league position suggests, and we fancy them to avoid defeat in South Wales and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Watford
46.33% ( 0.1)	25.68% ( -0.27)	27.99% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59% (

1.2)

51.41% (

-1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78% (

1.03)

73.23% (

-1.03)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

0.55)

22.18% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

0.82)

55.58% (

-0.82)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08% (

0.77)

32.92% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5% (

0.85)

69.5% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 46.32%

Watford 27.99%

Draw 25.68%

Swansea City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.32%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.99%