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Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Burnley logo

Leeds
0 - 1
Burnley


Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Burnley

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Burnley

 After a shaky opening two matches, Leeds have looked like genuine top-two contenders and will be confident of recording a third straight Championship win at Elland Road this weekend. Burnley are not as strong as there were when they destroyed this division under Kompany, so we are expecting a narrow defeat for Parker's troops against a promotional rival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
67.34% (0.833 0.83) 18.37% (-0.285 -0.29) 14.29% (-0.548 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.131 0.13)36.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (0.14400000000001 0.14)59.1% (-0.145 -0.14)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.91% (0.242 0.24)10.09% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.76% (0.55199999999999 0.55)33.24% (-0.554 -0.55)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)38.35% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (-0.633 -0.63)75.1% (0.631 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 67.33%
    Burnley 14.29%
    Draw 18.37%
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.091 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 67.33%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.29%

How you voted: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds United
80.4%
Draw
9.3%
Burnley
10.3%
97
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
> Match Report
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
> Match Report
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Burnley
2-2
Leeds
(Aggregate 2-2 | Leeds win 5-3 on penalties)
Wood (89' pen.), Brady (96')
Bardsley (53'), Berg Gudmundsson (70'), Long (85')
Sacko (80'), Hernandez (94' pen.)
Grot (45'), Roofe (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland86021661018
2Burnley85211441017
3West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom8512126616
4Leeds UnitedLeeds8431135815
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn8431149515
6Middlesbrough842295414
7Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
8Watford74121210213
9Hull City8332129312
10Norwich CityNorwich83321210212
11Swansea CitySwansea732285311
12Oxford UnitedOxford Utd83231210211
13Derby CountyDerby83051012-29
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall8224121118
16Coventry CityCoventry8224911-28
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth8224812-48
18Luton TownLuton8224813-58
19Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
20Queens Park RangersQPR8143914-57
21Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff8116317-144
> Championship Full Table


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