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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
63.8% (![]() | 19.98% (![]() | 16.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.48% (![]() | 40.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.1% (![]() | 62.89% (![]() |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.96% (![]() | 12.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.46% | 37.54% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.9% (![]() | 38.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% (![]() | 74.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
2-0 @ 10.27% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.74% Total : 63.79% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 4.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |