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Championship | 2nd Leg
May 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
4 - 0
Norwich

Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United cruise into the Championship playoff final after thumping Norwich City 4-0 in the second leg of their semi-final at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Leeds
Sunday, May 12 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Leeds
Sunday, May 12 at 12pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
63.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 19.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.22% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.51% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)62.89% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46%37.54%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)38.1% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)74.86% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.79%
    Norwich City 16.22%
    Draw 19.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 7%
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 63.79%
1-1 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.98%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
74.1%
Draw
11.9%
Norwich City
14.0%
193
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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