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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
5 - 0
Cardiff

Horvath (9' og.), Koleosho (31'), Brownhill (51'), Amdouni (88'), Berg Gudmundsson (90+2')
Foster (42'), Esteve (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramsey (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-4 Burnley
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Burnley made Turf Moor a fortress during their title-winning campaign of 2022-23, and we are expecting a similar story for the Clarets this time around. Cardiff have been unconvincing to date this season, so we cannot envisage them collecting any points during a trip to one of the favourites for automatic promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
31.3% (-1.659 -1.66) 24.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44.15% (1.669 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)44.88% (0.591 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-0.565 -0.56)67.23% (0.571 0.57)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-1.318 -1.32)27.25% (1.323 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-1.748 -1.75)62.68% (1.754 1.75)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.508 0.51)20.43% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.797 0.8)52.88% (-0.792 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 31.3%
    Cardiff City 44.15%
    Draw 24.54%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.169 0.17)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.354 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.385 0.39)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.257 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.093 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.123 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
90.4%
Draw
3.8%
Cardiff City
5.8%
52
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Burnley
3-0
Cardiff
Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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