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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Coventry City

Leeds
3 - 0
Coventry

Gnonto (16'), Bogle (49'), Piroe (79')
Rodon (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latibeaudiere (84'), Eccles (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Coventry City

Despite their recent struggles at Elland Road, Leeds will be massive favourites for victory on Saturday afternoon against a Coventry side who are yet to click into gear. The visitors are short of options in midfield and could be blown away by a purring Leeds attack, adding to the Sky Blues' mounting list of defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
52.52% (0.707 0.71) 23.49% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 23.99% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 55.57% (-0.518 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.346 -0.35)45.25% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.332 -0.33)67.59% (0.33099999999999 0.33)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.13500000000001 0.14)17.21% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (0.236 0.24)47.5% (-0.237 -0.24)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.73699999999999 -0.74)32.88% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (-0.828 -0.83)69.45% (0.82600000000001 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 52.52%
    Coventry City 23.99%
    Draw 23.48%
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 52.52%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.48%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: Leeds vs Coventry

Leeds United
73.8%
Draw
12.3%
Coventry City
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
Simms (9'), Wright (49')
Bidwell (62'), Sheaf (71'), Simms (88'), Eccles (90+2')
Piroe (76')
Gruev (8'), Ampadu (88')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Leeds
1-1
Coventry
Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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