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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 1
Coventry

Dele-Bashiru (67')
Pollock (38'), Porteous (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simms (4')
Torp (44'), Latibeaudiere (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Watford
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Coventry City

Watford have been formidable at Vicarage Road so far this season, winning four straight matches across all competitions by an aggregate scoreline of 12-1. As a result, the Hornets should be extremely confident of dealing with the threat of Coventry this weekend, so we are expecting a narrow win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
43.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 30.21% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.064 0.06)50.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.056999999999999 0.06)72.71% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.021999999999991 0.02)23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.83% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05)30.98% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (0.059000000000005 0.06)67.28% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 43.97%
    Coventry City 30.21%
    Draw 25.81%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
65.3%
Draw
22.2%
Coventry City
12.5%
72
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-2
Coventry
Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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