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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
21.21% ( -0) | 22.65% | 56.14% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% ( -0) | 44.68% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.96% ( -0) | 67.04% ( 0) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.91% ( -0) | 35.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.16% ( -0) | 71.84% ( 0) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.27% ( 0) | 15.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.17% ( 0) | 44.83% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 5.78% 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.21% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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