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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Coventry City

Leeds
1 - 1
Coventry

Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Coventry City

After being kept at bay by Sunderland last time out, we are expecting Leeds to come out firing and hit a couple of goals past Bradley Collins in the Coventry net. The Sky Blues have looked decent on their own patch in the last two matches, but 90 minutes against the Whites and their Elland Road faithful is an entirely different proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
49.39% (-0.715 -0.71) 23.21% (0.275 0.27) 27.39% (0.441 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (-0.945 -0.95)41.01% (0.946 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (-0.97 -0.97)63.4% (0.971 0.97)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)16.79% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.102 -1.1)46.75% (1.103 1.1)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)27.95% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (-0.224 -0.22)63.58% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 49.39%
    Coventry City 27.39%
    Draw 23.21%
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.39%

How you voted: Leeds vs Coventry

Leeds United
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Coventry City
16.7%
36
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Coventry
2-3
Leeds
Turner (64'), Jutkiewicz (52')
Carsley (54')
Gradel (61' pen.), Howson (4'), Snodgrass (40')
Collins (45'), Faye (55'), Brown (72'), Becchio (86')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Coventry
Douglas (53'), Healy (15')
Nicholls (54'), Douglas (68')
Virgo (43')
Page (13'), Whing (27'), Kyle (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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