Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2022 at 1pm UK
Ashton Gate
Bristol City3 - 2Millwall
We said: Bristol City 1-2 Millwall
Given Bristol City's track record at Ashton Gate, it is becoming increasingly difficult to back them to collect three points. The same applies to this game, and we expect Millwall to edge a close contest with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Millwall |
| 26.38% | 28.71% | 44.91% |
| Both teams to score 42.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
