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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Blackpool | 6 | -1 | 8 |
14 | Cardiff City | 6 | -1 | 8 |
15 | West Bromwich Albion | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Middlesbrough | 6 | -1 | 6 |
19 | Luton Town | 6 | -1 | 6 |
20 | Wigan Athletic | 5 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
32.13% ( -1.29) | 28.08% ( -0.34) | 39.79% ( 1.63) |
Both teams to score 47.04% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.05% ( 0.98) | 58.95% ( -0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.57% ( 0.76) | 79.43% ( -0.76) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( -0.38) | 33.81% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% ( -0.42) | 70.48% ( 0.42) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( 1.44) | 28.93% ( -1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% ( 1.76) | 64.81% ( -1.76) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.12% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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