MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 12:31:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
1 - 2
Luton

Sawyers (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Freeman (21'), Adebayo (45+1'), Osho (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

Although both sides have struggled to consistently find the net this season, with four points from their last two games, we think that Luton will have the confidence to claim a narrow victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.13% (-1.292 -1.29) 28.08% (-0.337 -0.34) 39.79% (1.631 1.63)
Both teams to score 47.04% (0.688 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (0.98399999999999 0.98)58.95% (-0.984 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (0.757 0.76)79.43% (-0.75599999999999 -0.76)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.38499999999999 -0.38)33.81% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (-0.422 -0.42)70.48% (0.422 0.42)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (1.445 1.44)28.93% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (1.756 1.76)64.81% (-1.755 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.12%
    Luton Town 39.79%
    Draw 28.08%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.095 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.316 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.247 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.111 0.11)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
39.0%
Draw
18.3%
Luton Town
42.7%
82
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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