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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
1 - 2
Luton

Sawyers (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Freeman (21'), Adebayo (45+1'), Osho (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

Although both sides have struggled to consistently find the net this season, with four points from their last two games, we think that Luton will have the confidence to claim a narrow victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.13% (-1.292 -1.29) 28.08% (-0.337 -0.34) 39.79% (1.631 1.63)
Both teams to score 47.04% (0.688 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (0.98399999999999 0.98)58.95% (-0.984 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (0.757 0.76)79.43% (-0.75599999999999 -0.76)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.38499999999999 -0.38)33.81% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (-0.422 -0.42)70.48% (0.422 0.42)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (1.445 1.44)28.93% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (1.756 1.76)64.81% (-1.755 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.12%
    Luton Town 39.79%
    Draw 28.08%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.095 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.316 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.247 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.111 0.11)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
39.0%
Draw
18.3%
Luton Town
42.7%
82
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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