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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
1 - 2
Luton

Sawyers (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Freeman (21'), Adebayo (45+1'), Osho (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

Although both sides have struggled to consistently find the net this season, with four points from their last two games, we think that Luton will have the confidence to claim a narrow victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.13% (-1.292 -1.29) 28.08% (-0.337 -0.34) 39.79% (1.631 1.63)
Both teams to score 47.04% (0.688 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (0.98399999999999 0.98)58.95% (-0.984 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (0.757 0.76)79.43% (-0.75599999999999 -0.76)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.38499999999999 -0.38)33.81% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (-0.422 -0.42)70.48% (0.422 0.42)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (1.445 1.44)28.93% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (1.756 1.76)64.81% (-1.755 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.12%
    Luton Town 39.79%
    Draw 28.08%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.095 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.316 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.247 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.111 0.11)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
39.0%
Draw
18.3%
Luton Town
42.7%
82
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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