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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the likelihood is that forward lines with plenty of quality will eventually find some form, and that could be the case on Wednesday. However, we feel that there is a greater vulnerability about Stoke, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.7%32.24%
Both teams to score 48.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.76%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.06%
    Middlesbrough 32.23%
    Draw 27.69%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
33.6%
Draw
25.6%
Middlesbrough
40.8%
125
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Middlesbrough
Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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