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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
53.65% ( -0.04) | 26.22% ( 0.02) | 20.12% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 42.85% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.4% ( -0.02) | 59.6% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% ( -0.02) | 79.93% ( 0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( -0.03) | 22.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.11% ( -0.04) | 55.89% ( 0.04) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.21% ( 0.01) | 44.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( 0.01) | 80.76% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 15% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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