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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Luton Town

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Luton

Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clark (33')
Bell (25'), Lockyer (57'), Bree (72'), Bree (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Luton Town

As Luton have confirmed their reputation for being tough to beat - and have a new manager to impress - they can grind out a low-scoring draw at the Riverside. Against a Boro side that won three of their final four league fixtures before the Championship came to a halt, that represents a good result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
53.65% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 26.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 20.12% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)79.93% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.38% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.21% (0.009999999999998 0.01)44.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)80.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 53.64%
    Luton Town 20.12%
    Draw 26.22%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 15%
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.12%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Luton

Middlesbrough
58.5%
Draw
29.3%
Luton Town
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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