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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.6% ( 0.15) | 24.83% ( 0.03) | 32.57% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 57.46% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -0.22) | 45.67% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -0.2) | 67.99% ( 0.2) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% ( -0.02) | 21.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.5% ( -0.03) | 54.49% ( 0.03) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( -0.22) | 26.84% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% ( -0.29) | 62.14% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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