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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Sargent (7')
Hayden (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Lenihan (22'), Forss (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Middlesbrough

This is one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend and we feel that Norwich will have every confidence of extending their revival. Nevertheless, Boro look a different side under Carrick, and the visitors could lead Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
42.6% (0.14899999999999 0.15) 24.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 32.57% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-0.216 -0.22)45.67% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-0.205 -0.2)67.99% (0.202 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.46% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)54.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.22 -0.22)26.84% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.29 -0.29)62.14% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 42.6%
    Middlesbrough 32.57%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.57%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
80.6%
Draw
3.2%
Middlesbrough
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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