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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Sargent (7')
Hayden (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Lenihan (22'), Forss (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Middlesbrough

This is one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend and we feel that Norwich will have every confidence of extending their revival. Nevertheless, Boro look a different side under Carrick, and the visitors could lead Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
42.6% (0.14899999999999 0.15) 24.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 32.57% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-0.216 -0.22)45.67% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-0.205 -0.2)67.99% (0.202 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.46% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)54.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.22 -0.22)26.84% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.29 -0.29)62.14% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 42.6%
    Middlesbrough 32.57%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.57%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
80.6%
Draw
3.2%
Middlesbrough
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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