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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Rotherham logo

Luton
1 - 1
Rotherham

Berry (90')
Doughty (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lindsay (1')
Harding (19'), Barlaser (23'), Peltier (47'), Bramall (88'), Eaves (89'), Washington (90+3'), Norton-Cuffy (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Rotherham United

Many will be expecting a subdued atmosphere on Saturday with Luton losing Jones to Southampton, but the announcement that club legend Mick Harford will take charge of the squad has boosted the morale amongst supporters who want to get behind their team at a packed-out Kenilworth Road. Rotherham are travelling down to Bedfordshire following a brilliant win against Sheffield United, but we can see the hosts taking all three points in a convincing manner in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
61.63% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 22.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 15.83% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)52.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.081 -0.08)73.8% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.44% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)46.12% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41% (-0.11 -0.11)45.59% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)81.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.62%
    Rotherham United 15.83%
    Draw 22.53%
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.83%

How you voted: Luton vs Rotherham

Luton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Rotherham United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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