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Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Birmingham

Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Birmingham City

Norwich produced a promising performance at Craven Cottage despite bowing out of the EFL Cup, but the Canaries will still need to start brightly on Saturday to erase memories of their capitulation against Plymouth last weekend. Birmingham face three matches in the space of seven days as they battle with an ongoing injury crisis, although with a week's break under their belts, Eustace's men should be able to collect a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
49.59% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 24.44%
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)54.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)76.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)22.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.59% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.79% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.59%
    Birmingham City 24.44%
    Draw 25.97%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
Draw
Birmingham City
Norwich City
63.6%
Draw
22.7%
Birmingham City
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
Colin (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-2
Norwich
Hogan (50')
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry42189155954563
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City421112194150-945
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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