MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 20:39:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Birmingham

Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Birmingham City

Norwich produced a promising performance at Craven Cottage despite bowing out of the EFL Cup, but the Canaries will still need to start brightly on Saturday to erase memories of their capitulation against Plymouth last weekend. Birmingham face three matches in the space of seven days as they battle with an ongoing injury crisis, although with a week's break under their belts, Eustace's men should be able to collect a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
49.59% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 24.44%
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)54.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)76.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)22.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.59% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.79% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.59%
    Birmingham City 24.44%
    Draw 25.97%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
63.6%
Draw
22.7%
Birmingham City
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
Colin (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-2
Norwich
Hogan (50')
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!