EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Fulham2 - 1Norwich
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Fulham 3-1 Norwich City
Each team will probably make changes for this contest, throwing open the possibility of any result occurring at Craven Cottage. However, we can only back the home side, who have players in their squad who will want to impress in games such as this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Norwich City |
33.86% ( 0.1) | 24.14% ( 0.11) | 42% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
