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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Stoke logo

Norwich
1 - 0
Stoke

Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Preston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stoke City

Although both teams suffered defeat immediately before the international break, Norwich have look by far the superior side in recent games. With that in mind, we can only predict a home win for the Canaries, heaping the pressure on Neil in the opposite dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
41.1% (0.175 0.17) 26.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 32.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.54% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.135 0.13)53.28% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.117 0.12)74.83% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.15299999999999 0.15)25.55% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.21 0.21)60.41% (-0.208 -0.21)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.1%
    Stoke City 32.3%
    Draw 26.59%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Stoke City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
2-2
Norwich
Williams (47'), Edwards (69')
Hernandez (24'), Pukki (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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