MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:06:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
Birmingham logo

Preston
2 - 1
Birmingham

Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Birmingham City

Preston are currently in irrepressible form, and after winning all three league home games this season, we think that they will make full use of home advantage once again to edge out Birmingham in Tuesday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
42.53% (3.676 3.68) 27.09% (-0.366 -0.37) 30.38% (-3.311 -3.31)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (0.561 0.56)55.79% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.453 0.45)76.92% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (2.272 2.27)25.94% (-2.272 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05% (2.968 2.97)60.95% (-2.969 -2.97)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (-2.02 -2.02)33.42% (2.02 2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (-2.278 -2.28)70.05% (2.278 2.28)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.52%
    Birmingham City 30.38%
    Draw 27.09%
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.435 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.799 0.8)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.425 0.43)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.558 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.216 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.251 0.25)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.757 -0.76)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.494 -0.49)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.736 -0.74)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.38%

How you voted: Preston vs Birmingham

Preston North End
72.9%
Draw
18.8%
Birmingham City
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
0-1
Preston

Friend (22'), Gardner (90')
Sinclair (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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