EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham1 - 3Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Cardiff City
Birmingham are on an impressive run of results heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing on home turf makes them favourites. We are backing the home team to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
42.34% ( 0.31) | 27.45% ( 0.01) | 30.21% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
