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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham
2 - 1
Plymouth

Hogan (8'), Stansfield (90+5')
Sanderson (23'), Buchanan (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hardie (60')
Randell (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham have started the campaign in promising fashion, but injuries to Dembele and Laird are set to make earning a maximum significantly harder this weekend. Plymouth may be looking to set their sights higher than just Championship safety this term, and we expect the Green Army to return to Devon with a point on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
32.22% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 26.75% (-0.012 -0.01) 41.04% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.04% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)53.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)75.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)31.15% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.073 -0.07)67.49% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.073999999999998 0.07)25.87% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.097999999999999 0.1)60.84% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 32.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.03%
    Draw 26.74%
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.03%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Plymouth

Birmingham City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Third Round
Birmingham
0-1
Plymouth

Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')
Law (104')
Houghton (55')
Aug 6, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-2
Plymouth
Allan (48', 84'), Bartley (92')
Alessandra (61', 90')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Plymouth
Queudrue (50')
Jaidi (41'), Jerome (57'), Johnson (86')
Taylor (23')
Gallagher (26' pen.)
Barnes (20'), Gray (49'), Fletcher (81')
Dec 9, 2008 3pm
Dec 2, 2006 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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