Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 1
Plymouth

Hogan (8'), Stansfield (90+5')
Sanderson (23'), Buchanan (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hardie (60')
Randell (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham have started the campaign in promising fashion, but injuries to Dembele and Laird are set to make earning a maximum significantly harder this weekend. Plymouth may be looking to set their sights higher than just Championship safety this term, and we expect the Green Army to return to Devon with a point on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
32.22% ( -0.11)	26.75% ( -0.01)	41.04% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

0.02)

53.91% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

0.02)

75.36% (

-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

-0.06)

31.15% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51% (

-0.07)

67.49% (

0.07)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

0.07)

25.87% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

0.1)

60.84% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 32.22%

Plymouth Argyle 41.03%

Draw 26.74%

Birmingham City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.22%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.03%