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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2025 at 8pm UK
Carrow Road
Oxford United

Norwich
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Sargent (5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (18')
Moore (69'), Brown (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Coventry
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Oxford United

Norwich have won three of their previous five Championship home games, and we think that they will enjoy another successful outing at Carrow Road when they face an Oxford side that have lost four of their last five league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawOxford United
62.48% (-1.278 -1.28) 21.3% (0.659 0.66) 16.22% (0.621 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.733 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (-1.7 -1.7)46.36% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-1.621 -1.62)68.64% (1.622 1.62)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.92700000000001 -0.93)14.25% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99% (-1.837 -1.84)42.01% (1.839 1.84)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (-0.221 -0.22)41.63% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (-0.197 -0.2)78.12% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 62.47%
    Oxford United 16.22%
    Draw 21.29%
Norwich CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.56% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 62.47%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.316 0.32)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.416 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.335 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 16.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Oxford Utd

Norwich City
82.8%
Draw
8.0%
Oxford United
9.2%
87
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Oxford Utd
2-0
Norwich
Harris (28'), Brannagan (58')
Rodrigues (75')

Sargent (45+1'), Doyle (56'), Sorensen (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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