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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Oxford United

West Brom
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Mowatt (11'), Swift (90+11')
Mowatt (45+1'), Styles (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kioso (50'), Matos (58'), Brannagan (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Oxford United

Despite the surprise defeat at home to Blackburn, West Brom remain a formidable outfit at The Hawthorns and should be confident of maximum points against Oxford. The U's are struggling in front of net and now face a daunting trip to the Black Country for the first time since an EFL Cup loss in 2014. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawOxford United
62.51% (0.114 0.11) 22.67% (-0.026 -0.03) 14.82% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 42.95% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)54.25% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)75.65% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)16.9% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05)46.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.69% (-0.146 -0.15)48.32% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.108 -0.11)83.46% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 62.5%
    Oxford United 14.82%
    Draw 22.67%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.65% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 62.5%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.82%

How you voted: West Brom vs Oxford Utd

West Bromwich Albion
84.0%
Draw
12.0%
Oxford United
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Oxford Utd
1-1
West Brom
Scarlett (90+2')
Buckingham (0'), Nelson (63'), Sibley (75'), Ebiowei (90+4')
Grant (29')
Mowatt (66')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-3
West Brom
Grant (80', 84'), Sade (88' og.)
Aug 26, 2014 8pm
Round Two
West Brom
1-1
Oxford Utd
(Aggregate 1-1 | West Brom win 7-6 on penalties)
Mullins (29' og.)
Hylton (86')
Brown (52'), Wright (117'), Crocombe (119')
Brown (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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