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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bristol City

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Bristol City

Leigh (59')
Leigh (19'), Brannagan (30'), Helik (64'), Matos (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sykes (65')
McCrorie (4'), Bird (81'), O'Leary (90+4')
Williams (31'), McCrorie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Bristol City

Oxford have won all four of their home league games since Rowett took over the reins in December, and we think that they will maintain that record by claiming a narrow win over a Bristol City side that have lost four of their previous seven Championship away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol City
33.07% (0.107 0.11) 27.19% (0.2 0.2) 39.74% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.594 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.762 -0.76)55.45% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.63 -0.63)76.64% (0.628 0.63)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.31599999999999 -0.32)31.35% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.367 -0.37)67.72% (0.364 0.36)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.529 -0.53)27.29% (0.527 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.691 -0.69)62.72% (0.689 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 33.07%
    Bristol City 39.74%
    Draw 27.18%
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.249 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.74%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bristol City

Oxford United
61.1%
Draw
11.1%
Bristol City
27.8%
36
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol City
2-1
Oxford Utd
Armstrong (57'), Wells (75' pen.)
Williams (10')
Rodrigues (28')
El Mizouni (11'), Moore (66'), Vaulks (74'), Brown (74')
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-1
Oxford Utd
Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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