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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Oxford United

Derby
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Harness (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Derby
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Oxford United

Considering the uncertainty surrounding the club, Derby may be nervous coming into the clash and Oxford may take advantage. While the visitors have been poor away from home, they have started to lose less on the road and their face hosts have struggled to score goals at Pride Park Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
48.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 27.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.06% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)79.52% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (0.035000000000004 0.04)39.86% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)76.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 48.11%
    Oxford United 24.69%
    Draw 27.18%
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 9.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Derby vs Oxford Utd

Derby County
37.3%
Draw
13.4%
Oxford United
49.3%
67
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-1
Derby
Scarlett (12')
Goodrham (19')
Mendez-Laing (55')
Osborn (38'), Elder (45+1'), Taylor (50'), Cashin (76')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Brannagan (2' pen., 13')
Beadle (67')
Forsyth (45+3'), Thompson (81'), Cashin (86')
Wildsmith (2'), Bird (24'), Barkhuizen (59'), John-Jules (71')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
1-2
Oxford Utd
Waghorn (87')
Collins (27'), Bird (37'), Hourihane (42'), Wilson (68'), Cashin (82')
Harris (32', 72')
Long (52'), Beadle (90+1')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Long (14'), Joseph (90')
Sibley (23', 40'), Long (61' og.)
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hourihane (80')
Hourihane (47'), Collins (55'), Mendez-Laing (82'), Davies (90+7')

Seddon (28'), Browne (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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