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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Sunderland

Norwich
1 - 0
Sunderland

Sargent (81')
Giannoulis (76'), Sorensen (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (44'), Ekwah (59'), Seelt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Sunderland

Despite dropping two points at Blackburn last weekend, Norwich are still in brilliant form and should be confident of potentially breaking into the top six on Saturday. Sunderland are in a real rut as they battle on without their star man Clarke and a permanent manager, so we are not expecting much from the Black Cats at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
41.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.65% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.9%
    Sunderland 33.44%
    Draw 24.66%
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Sunderland

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
19.0%
Sunderland
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sunderland
3-1
Norwich
Hume (37'), Neill (45'), Clarke (80' pen.)
Ekwah (24'), O'Nien (41'), Pritchard (89'), Semedo (90+5')
Ui-jo (23')
Fassnacht (11'), Giannoulis (61'), McLean (79'), Idah (90+5')
Mar 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
0-1
Sunderland
Ba (15')
Aug 27, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sunderland
0-1
Norwich

Cirkin (25'), O'Nien (35')
Sargent (76')
Sargent (90+1'), Krul (90+2')
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2017 1.30pm
Norwich
1-3
Sunderland
Grabban (78' og.)
Grabban (27', 71'), McGeady (59')
Vaughan (53')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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