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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Sunderland |
41.89% ( -0.01) | 24.66% ( -0) | 33.44% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.33% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% ( 0.01) | 44.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% ( 0.01) | 67.01% ( -0) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% ( 0) | 21.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.67% | 54.33% ( 0) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.18% ( 0.01) | 25.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% ( 0.01) | 60.78% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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