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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Sunderland

Norwich
1 - 0
Sunderland

Sargent (81')
Giannoulis (76'), Sorensen (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (44'), Ekwah (59'), Seelt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Sunderland

 Despite dropping two points at Blackburn last weekend, Norwich are still in brilliant form and should be confident of potentially breaking into the top six on Saturday. Sunderland are in a real rut as they battle on without their star man Clarke and a permanent manager, so we are not expecting much from the Black Cats at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
41.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.65% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.9%
    Sunderland 33.44%
    Draw 24.66%
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Sunderland

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
19.0%
Sunderland
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sunderland
3-1
Norwich
Hume (37'), Neill (45'), Clarke (80' pen.)
Ekwah (24'), O'Nien (41'), Pritchard (89'), Semedo (90+5')
Ui-jo (23')
Fassnacht (11'), Giannoulis (61'), McLean (79'), Idah (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
0-1
Sunderland
Ba (15')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sunderland
0-1
Norwich

Cirkin (25'), O'Nien (35')
Sargent (76')
Sargent (90+1'), Krul (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Sunderland
1-1
Norwich
Honeyman (62')
Pinto (89')
Aug 13, 2017 1.30pm
Norwich
1-3
Sunderland
Grabban (78' og.)
Grabban (27', 71'), McGeady (59')
Vaughan (53')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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