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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
2 - 1
Coventry

Sargent (60'), Sainz (84')
Nunez (22'), McLean (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Hare (48')
Kitching (36'), Thomas (90+7')
Kitching (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Coventry City

With Coventry building a head of steam, there is an argument that the Sky Blues are favourites to prevail. However, Norwich deserve credit for hanging about in the playoff race, and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils in a competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
36.82% (0.595 0.59) 25.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 37.82% (-0.637 -0.64)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.156 -0.16)47.33% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.145 -0.15)69.55% (0.143 0.14)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (0.261 0.26)25.13% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (0.361 0.36)59.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.411 -0.41)24.59% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)59.08% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 36.82%
    Coventry City 37.82%
    Draw 25.36%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.82%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Coventry City
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Coventry
1-1
Norwich
Gibson (88' og.)
Ayari (90+1')
Rowe (40')
Rowe (74')
Jan 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
2-4
Norwich
Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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