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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Sunderland

Forss (61')
Engel (34'), Greenwood (75'), Ayling (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rusyn (83')
Hume (14'), Ba (34'), Ekwah (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

With these two teams among the most inconsistent in the Championship, this is a difficult match to predict. Sunderland will fancy their chances of building on the win over Stoke, yet we think that Boro will have enough quality in their ranks to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
32.94% (0.13500000000001 0.14) 24.77% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.547 0.55)45.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.522 0.52)67.62% (-0.523 -0.52)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.34999999999999 0.35)26.42% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.462 0.46)61.59% (-0.464 -0.46)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.21900000000001 0.22)21.45% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.33799999999999 0.34)54.46% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.95%
    Sunderland 42.28%
    Draw 24.77%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
0-4
Middlesbrough

Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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