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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Sunderland

Forss (61')
Engel (34'), Greenwood (75'), Ayling (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rusyn (83')
Hume (14'), Ba (34'), Ekwah (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

With these two teams among the most inconsistent in the Championship, this is a difficult match to predict. Sunderland will fancy their chances of building on the win over Stoke, yet we think that Boro will have enough quality in their ranks to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
32.94% (0.13500000000001 0.14) 24.77% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.547 0.55)45.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.522 0.52)67.62% (-0.523 -0.52)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.34999999999999 0.35)26.42% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.462 0.46)61.59% (-0.464 -0.46)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.21900000000001 0.22)21.45% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.33799999999999 0.34)54.46% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.95%
    Sunderland 42.28%
    Draw 24.77%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
0-4
Middlesbrough

Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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