Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
41.33% ( -0.01) | 24.71% ( 0.01) | 33.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.34% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.29% ( -0.05) | 44.71% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.93% ( -0.05) | 67.07% ( 0.06) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.03) | 21.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.04) | 54.78% ( 0.05) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% ( -0.02) | 25.54% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% ( -0.03) | 60.39% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |